Report
Monthly Geopolitical Report — October 2025
ZeroFox Intelligence Assessment
Monitor the flashpoints most likely to influence global security, cyber operations, and supply-chain stability. Strengthen your security team’s threat-driven decision making with the context needed to anticipate regional disruptions and prepare contingency plans.
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Global Tensions on the Rise
October’s assessment highlights escalating conflict risks, political realignments, and widespread civil unrest across multiple continents. From renewed NATO–Russia friction to youth-led protest movements, the month’s developments underscore the volatility shaping today’s geopolitical environment.
Details Inside the Report:
- Europe: Increasing Russian airspace violations over NATO territory raise the risk of broader conflict, as European leaders debate asset seizures and direct intervention.
- Americas: Argentina’s October 26 midterms and Bolivia’s presidential runoff mark pivotal shifts in Latin American politics, with tariff uncertainty returning in the U.S. amid new trade measures.
- Middle East: Despite a U.S.-backed 20-point ceasefire plan, Israel’s war in Gaza shows no signs of ending; regional governments remain cautious, while tensions persist in Turkey’s crackdown on opposition.
- Asia: Gen Z–led protest movements spread globally following unrest in Indonesia and Nepal; the upcoming Trump–Xi meeting at the APEC Summit, China’s 2026–2030 Five-Year Plan, and Japan’s leadership election all carry major policy implications.
- Africa: Côte d’Ivoire and Tanzania prepare for contentious national elections amid concerns over opposition repression and post-election unrest.
