ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report - SITREP #14 - Military Strikes on Iran

ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report - SITREP #14 - Military Strikes on Iran - March 9, 2026

Product Serial: F-2026-03-09a

TLP:CLEAR

In this Flash report, ZeroFox researchers report on the latest developments from U.S. and Israeli combat operations against Iran and how Iran is responding.

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Key Findings

Iran announced Mojtaba Khamenei as its new Supreme Leader, following the death of his father Ali Khamenei. The decision is unlikely to be seen by the United States as a positive move toward ending the conflict.
Oil prices surged to over USD 116 in overnight trading, before settling around USD 107, as of writing. The price increase is very likely in response to Israeli attacks over the weekend on Iranian oil infrastructure, but there is also a roughly even chance it is partially in reaction to the new Supreme Leader, whose appointment is likely seen as a sign of a longer war.
Iran continued firing missiles and drones at regional targets, including Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, and Iraq. Saudi Arabia warned Iran to cease its attacks on regional states.
Two Iranian ships reportedly departed a Chinese chemical storage port this week, raising questions about China’s support to Iran amid the conflict. It is very unlikely China will become militarily involved, but it is almost certain it will continue to provide material support to Iran.