Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Situational Updates

Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Situational Updates

TLP: WHITE

In this briefing, ZeroFox Intelligence provides a situational awareness update on the Russian-Ukraine conflict.

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Executive Summary

Russian forces are continuing to mass northwest of Kyiv and will likely begin a concerted effort to encircle the city in the next 72 hours. In addition, the humanitarian situation in Ukraine is deteriorating–Russia has fired on evacuation corridors, and Mariupol has been without water and power for nearly a week. The U.S. Congress is pressuring the White House to support an import ban on Russian oil, but a similar move by the European Union (EU) is less likely due to lack of German support. Further, NATO has rejected requests from the Ukrainian government to introduce a no-fly zone due to the likelihood it would lead to military escalation.