Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Situational Updates

Product Serial: B-2022-04-21a

TLP: WHITE

In this briefing, ZeroFox Intelligence provides a situational awareness update on the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

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Scope Note

ZeroFox Intelligence is derived from a variety of sources, including—but not limited to—curated open-source accesses, vetted social media, proprietary data sources, and direct access to threat actors and groups through covert communication channels. Information relied upon to complete any report cannot always be independently verified. As such, ZeroFox applies rigorous analytic standards and tradecraft in accordance with best practices and includes caveat language and source citations to clearly identify the veracity of our Intelligence reporting and substantiate our assessments and recommendations. All sources used in this particular Intelligence product were identified prior to 2:00 PM (EDT) on April 21, 2022; per cyber hygiene best practices, caution is advised when clicking on any third-party links.

Executive Summary

The Russian battleship Moskva sank in the Black Sea one week ago, but Russia has not released any casualty figures and continues to suppress information about the disaster. U.S. President Joseph Biden confirmed on April 21, 2022, that the U.S. was putting together another military and humanitarian aid package for Ukraine worth approximately USD 1.3 billion. Russia’s offensive in the Donbas began with heavy air and artillery bombardment on the frontline, but with limited progress by its forces on the ground. Mariupol’s last defenders and an estimated 1,000 civilians are trapped inside the Azovstal steel factory, the last point of Ukrainian control in the city, while Russian President Vladimir Putin has already declared Mariupol’s “liberation”.