ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report - Israel’s Limited Incursion into Rafah and Campus Protests

Product Serial: F-2024-05-13a

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In this flash report, ZeroFox researchers report on Israel's limited incursion into Rafah and the potential impact on university campus protests in the U.S. and around the world.

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Key Findings

Israel has begun a limited incursion into Rafah, ostensibly to counter smuggling operations from Egypt, but also reportedly to pressure Hamas into agreeing to a ceasefire that is more favorable to Israel.
Progressive limited operations into Rafah could see Israel avoid heavy international criticism that a larger assault would likely bring, while also achieving the domestic political aims of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Hamas will almost certainly remain a capable fighting force in the Gaza Strip, regardless of the outcome in Rafah.
U.S. university protests have expanded globally, but protesters may move on to other targets as the school year ends but the war continues.
Israeli Independence Day (May 14) and Palestinian al-Nakba Day (May 15) are traditional protest days for activists on both sides, but the commemorations and protests will likely be more disruptive because of the events in Rafah and ongoing campus protests.