ZeroFox Intelligence June 2024 Geopolitical Brief

Product Serial: B-2024-05-30c

TLP:CLEAR

In this monthly intelligence brief, ZeroFox researchers focus on upcoming elections and high profile events with a focus on Europe. June and July are especially busy months in Europe, where all 27 EU member states will be voting to determine the make-up of the EU parliament. After that, Germany and France will be on high alert for terrorist attacks while hosting the European Championships in June and the Paris Olympics in July. Finally, the Group of 7 largest economies will be meeting in Italy. Since Russia's war in Ukraine, G7 summits have seen major economic and policy announcements, with summit members united in thwarting the military threat posed by Russia and trade risks posed by China.

Standing Intelligence Requirements

Geopolitical and Physical GEO

For the most up-to-date list of ZeroFox’s Intelligence Requirements, please visit:

https://cloud.zerofox.com/intelligence/advisories/14956

Link to Download

View the full report here.

Key Findings

The outcome of EU elections will likely see less legislation regarding climate change and human rights and more on improving the competitiveness of EU businesses.
Mexico’s leading presidential candidate does not have a detailed plan to combat rising insecurity which will likely continue following the elections.
Haiti’s security situation has stabilized as aid has arrived in the run-up to a foreign intervention.
German authorities are on high alert for terrorist attacks during the month long Euro 2024 soccer tournament.
Georgia forced through an unpopular law that brings the country closer to Russia.
Surprise UK elections will likely finish with a change in government.
When G7 leaders meet in June they will likely double down on efforts to fund Ukraine with frozen Russian assets and isolate China from the global economy.
Outgoing Mexican president AMLO is likely to maintain influence over his successor Claudia Sheinbaum.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu very likely sees the extension of the conflict as crucial to remaining in office.
Russian troops are attempting to gain as much Ukrainian territory as possible before Western aid arrives and likely freezes battle lines until 2025.