ZeroFox Intelligence January 2025 Geopolitical Brief

Standing Intelligence Requirements

Geopolitical and Physical GEO

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Political and social unrest is very likely across Europe in the early part of 2025. Both France and Germany are struggling with minority-led governments unable to address key issues surrounding immigration and the cost of living. Simultaneously, several Eastern European states are likely to experience energy shortages. *There will likely be a years-long battle for control of Syria that will likely result in a deeply fractured society, with some parts of the country influenced by Türkiye, other parts by Iran and Iraq, and still others controlled by jihadist groups like the Islamic State. *After decades of geopolitical tensions and military neutrality, Japan and South Korea agreed to mend ties in order to become military powerhouses. However, the two presidents who pushed through policies aimed at focusing on greater enemies in China and North Korea were suddenly removed from office, risking wider political instability in East Asia. *Unrest in Mozambique is part of a wider political shift across Africa, where political parties who have ruled since independence are losing support