ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report: India-Pakistan tensions Likely to Escalate

ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report - India-Pakistan tensions Likely to Escalate

Product Serial: F-2025-04-29a

TLP:CLEAR

In this Flash Report, ZeroFox researchers report on the likely escalation of military confrontation between India and Pakistan following a recent terror attack.

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Key Findings

• A military escalation between India and Pakistan is likely in the coming weeks after gunmen likely affiliated with a Pakistani-based terror group targeted a tourism hotspot in Kashmir.
• Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has exerted a large amount of political capital since 2019 to ensure the public Kashmir was safe, while also establishing a military precedent that Pakistan can be held responsible for jihadist attacks in the region.
• Hacktivist groups on both sides of the conflict have begun targeting public and private entities in India and Pakistan, while social media users have been sharing incendiary posts that will likely worsen tensions and contribute to public pressure on both governments to take retaliatory actions.