ZeroFox Intelligence May 2025 Geopolitical Assessment

ZeroFox Intelligence May 2025 Geopolitical Brief

Product Serial: B-2025-05-02a

TLP:CLEAR

Standing Intelligence Requirements

Geopolitical and Physical

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Key Findings

• While Russia has escalated its war in Ukraine, and U.S. efforts at a diplomatic solution largely failed to gain traction, the contours of an agreement are visible.
• A military escalation between India and Pakistan is likely in the coming weeks after gunmen likely affiliated with a * Pakistani-based terror group targeted a tourism hotspot in Kashmir.
• U.S. tariff policy is very likely already causing key supply chain disruptions, and the next major deadline is July 8, 2025, when the 90-day pause ends.
• Several Asian and European nations are holding elections in May 2025 wherein the primary issues are trade relations with the United States and China or Russia’s war in Ukraine.