PSI Regional Forecasts: Because Your Security Team Shouldn’t Be the Last to Know
by Esmeralda Sayagues, Jill Cagliostro

ZeroFox PSI Regional Forecasts give security teams a monthly forward look at the threats most likely to affect their operations. Delivered directly in the ZeroFox platform, before incidents happen.
The Problem With Reactive Security
Most physical security programs run in the same loop: an incident happens, the team mobilizes, and an after-action report gets filed. Repeat. That cycle works until it doesn’t. A protest that closes a distribution center, a surge in organized crime activity ahead of an executive trip, a seasonal conflict pattern that hits the same quarter every year: these are threats a security team should already know about, not discover when they’re managing the fallout.
That’s the gap Physical Security Intelligence (PSI) Regional Forecasts close. Every month, PSI customers now receive a structured forward-looking threat assessment for each of their covered regions, delivered directly in the ZeroFox platform, with no additional setup required. This solution gives security teams the context they need to plan ahead, brief leadership accurately, and make better decisions before the threat arrives.
What April 2026 Actually Looks Like for PSI Customers
Here’s what PSI customers are seeing right now for April 2026 across their covered regions:
| Region | Top Threats (April) | Key Drivers | What Makes This Region Different |
| North America | Severe weather events, civil unrest | Spring storm season, political polarization | Higher protest-to-violence conversion rates near logistics hubs and financial centers; focus on supply chain disruption risk |
| Latin America | Organized crime activity, infrastructure attacks | Cartel territorial disputes, election cycles | Elevated kidnapping-for-ransom risk for traveling executives; energy sector infrastructure remains a primary target |
| Europe | Politically motivated violence, critical infrastructure threats | NATO tensions, far-right mobilization | State-nexus actors elevate threat complexity; protests increasingly shift from demonstration to targeted disruption |
| Middle East & Africa | Armed conflict spillover, civil unrest | Regional proxy conflicts, food insecurity | Compound threats: security incidents frequently co-occur with humanitarian disruptions, affecting operations simultaneously |
| Asia-Pacific | Natural disaster compounding, maritime incidents | Typhoon season onset, South China Sea activity | Dual-layer risk: natural events and geopolitical tensions can activate simultaneously, with limited local emergency response capacity |
This is the kind of intelligence that changes how a security team operates. For example, a travel risk manager reviewing the Latin America row can flag executive trip protocols before a board offsite. Or, a global security director sees the European entry and adjusts vendor briefings for Q2. An operations team in Asia-Pacific builds contingency planning into seasonal staffing before typhoon season compounds with maritime tensions.
What You Get and How It Arrives
Each monthly PSI Regional Forecast is structured around three core elements:
- Top Threats: The incident types with the highest probability of impacting your operations in the coming month, drawn from PSI’s validated intelligence sources and regional analyst review
- Key Drivers: The underlying sociopolitical conditions that are shaping the threat environment and explaining why this month looks different from the last
- Regional Differentiators: The factors that make a given region’s risk profile distinct, so teams aren’t applying generic global threat assessments to specific operational contexts
Forecasts are delivered on the first business day of each month and appear directly in the alerts dashboard once the rule is configured. Coverage maps to the regions included in your PSI policy. If your team needs coverage for an additional region mid-cycle, contact your ZeroFox account team to discuss options.
What Changes for Your Security Team
Intelligence is only valuable if it changes what you do. Here’s how PSI Regional Forecasts are already informing security decisions:
- Executive travel risk: Teams are using regional forecasts to pressure-test travel itineraries before they’re finalized, flagging elevated-risk windows rather than relying on last-minute situation reports
- Leadership briefings: Security directors are incorporating forecast summaries into monthly executive briefings, giving C-suite stakeholders a credible forward view rather than a backward-looking incident summary
- Vendor and event security posture: Operations teams are adjusting vendor contracts and event security requirements based on forecast threat levels for the relevant region and quarter
- Crisis planning triggers: Some teams are using elevated forecast risk ratings as automated triggers to activate contingency planning protocols before an incident confirms the need
The common thread: forecasts create a shared operating picture that security teams can act on, not just reference. The shift from reactive to proactive doesn’t happen because of a single tool but it starts with having the right intelligence at the right time.
Get Started
PSI Regional Forecasts are available now, and your April 2026 forecast is already in the platform. Reports arrive in the first week of each month, mapped to the regions in your PSI subscription. If you're not yet a PSI customer and want to see what regional intelligence coverage looks like for your operations, reach out to your ZeroFox account team.
New to ZeroFox? Request a demo to see how the platform discovers, validates, and disrupts external threats across your entire digital footprint.
Esmeralda Sayagues
Esmeralda Sayagues is a Senior Product Manager at ZeroFox, where she leads work on scaling resilient security platforms. Her path to product spans three continents and includes earlier roles as a Corporate Attorney at DLA Piper and a Consultant at BCG, giving her a sharp lens on risk, compliance, and business strategy. CompTIA Security+ certified and a Certified Scrum Product Owner, Esmeralda is focused on driving innovation in threat intelligence and digital risk protection to help enterprises stay ahead of modern adversaries.
Tags: Physical Security