ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report- Incident Report: Israel-Hamas Agree to Parts of New Ceasefire

ZeroFox Intelligence Flash Report: Israel-Hamas Agree to Parts of New Ceasefire

Product Serial: F-2025-10-09a

TLP:CLEAR

In this Flash report, ZeroFox researchers focus on Israel and Hamas agreeing to the first phase of a new ceasefire and whether that will result in a total cessation of violence.

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Key Findings

• Israel and Hamas agreed to the first phase of a ceasefire, which will see the remaining Israeli hostages held in Gaza freed by October 13, 2025. While this phase is likely to proceed as planned, there is only a roughly even chance that the remainder of the deal will go forward.
• The remaining parts of the deal contain likely unpalatable elements for both Israel and Hamas, including Hamas’ disarmament and the delineation of a pathway to the creation of a Palestinian state.